Asking who will win is rather pointless. Of course Sobyanin. The really interesting question is what percentage will Navalny get - will it be closer to 5%, or 25%? His numbers are definitely showing an upwards trend, helped in no small part by his recent... ordeals, so I predict it will be closer to the latter. I don't expect widespread falsifications this time round, because while Moscow elections became very corrupt under the later Luzhkov and in 2011, in 2012 they suddenly became squeaky clean again. Assuming that remains the case - and why not? Sobyanin has no need to resort to fraud to win - I expect Navalny to get something close to 20%. Sobyanin - maybe 60%. Melnikov to get the usual KPRFists minus some because nobody knows about him, Degtyarev and Levichev to get small single digits because who the heck are they? So in this thread, feel free to: (1) Predict/explain what Sobyanin, Navalny, and other candidates will get. (2) Your own electoral preferences. (3) Other issues related to the elections such as the various programs, etc. Believe it or not, but I will actually vote for Navalny. (Well, I won't, because I won't be there, but still). This is not to say that I want Navalny to win. I think, as do many Muscovites, that Sobyanin does a basically fine and competent job, and understands the importance of decentralizing the city to offload stress from a seriously strained transport system. But I do want Navalny to get closer to 25% than to 5%. Why? Because then it increases - at least according to many analyses - the likelihood that his verdict will be softened to a conditional term, or overturned altogether (though the latter is unlikely). I support that because whatever the merits or demerits of the case against Navalny it is an objective fact that it is PR catastrophe and one that Russia should be very loth to deal with. With all due respect to Alexander Mercouris, when you need to write a 16,500 word essay defending the soundness of the verdict while the other side has a basket full of soundbytes like "But how can you steal a forest?" or "What about Serdyukov?" it's probably best to concede a tactical defeat, drop the matter, and move on.